Ingakanani Umbane Ofunekayo Kwiziko Ledatha?
"Ndinike uhambo lwasimahla losuku olunye lwee-hutongs zaseBeijing ngaphandle kokubuyela umva."
"Susa abantu abadlulayo kule foto, yigcine iyinto yendalo."
"Tshintsha ividiyo yokusindisa idada eliphekiweyo kwi-snow mountain fox ngedada elinetyuwa."
Zeziphi kwezi ngcebiso ze-AI eziza kusebenzisa umbane omninzi?
Kwiminyaka embalwa eyadlulayo, umthwalo wamandla (imfuneko yomthamo) wesikhungo sedatha esinye wawudla ngokuba kuluhlu lwee-megawatts (MW). Nangona kunjalo, ngokukhula kwemfuno yamandla okubala i-AI, imfuno yamandla yamaziko edatha iqhubekile nokunyuka. Ngokwengxelo ye-International Energy Agency (IEA), ukusetyenziswa kombane kwiziko ledatha yehlabathi bekumalunga neeyure ezingama-415 ze-terawatt (TWh) ngo-2024, kwaye kunokunyuka ukuya kwiiyure ezingama-945 ze-terawatt (TWh) ngo-2030 (oku kuxhomekeke ekungaqinisekini kuxhomekeke kwimeko).
Ukuthelekisa, ukuveliswa kombane ngonyaka kweThree Gorges Dam ngo-2025 bekumalunga ne-95.715 yeebhiliyoni zeekhilowathi-iiyure (ii-95.715 zeerawathi-iiyure). Ke ngoko, ukusetyenziswa kombane kwiziko ledatha lehlabathi kufana nokuveliswa kombane konyaka kweThree Gorges Dams okumalunga ne-4.
Ukubuyela kumbuzo wokuqala: ukusetyenziswa kwamandla kwesicelo esinye se-AI akunaxabiso limiselweyo kwaye kuchatshazelwa zizinto ezininzi ezinje ngobukhulu bemodeli, ubude bemveliso, uthotho lwengxelo, i-concurrency, i-hardware, kunye neziko ledatha. Iindlela eziqhelekileyo zezi:
Isicatshulwa esicacileyo, iziphumo ezimfutshane, kunye namanyathelo ambalwa okuqikelela ngokubanzi asebenzisa amandla amaninzi. Ukuqikelela okuntsonkothileyo, iingxoxo ezijika-jika ezininzi, kunye neziphumo ezinde zonyusa kakhulu umthwalo wokubala.
Ukwenziwa kwemifanekiso enzima ngokubanzi kugxininisa kakhulu kwikhompyutha kunombhalo ocacileyo.
Imisebenzi yokuvelisa iividiyo/yokuhlela iividiyo ezinde idla ngokubonisa ukwanda okukhulu kokusetyenziswa kwamandla.
Ukucwangciswa kwamandla kufuneka kuhambelane nokwakhiwa kweziko ledatha le-AI.
Ucwangciso lwamandla lwemveli ludla ngokusebenza kwixesha elide lamashumi eminyaka; nangona kunjalo, umjikelo wophuhliso lweziko ledatha elinamandla kakhulu umfutshane kakhulu, ufuna ulungelelwaniso oluqinileyo phakathi kobonelelo lwamandla kunye nokuvulwa kwemarike. Imida eqhelekileyo yokusebenza ekuphunyezweni ibandakanya:
Iiprojekthi zeziko ledatha zinokuthatha iminyaka ukwakhiwa, kungabandakanyi ixesha elifunekayo lokuqalisa imithombo emitsha yamandla.
Izityalo zamandla ezintsha ezisebenzisa igesi zihlala ziphantsi kwemiqathango efana neemvume, ipetroli, kunye neemeko zemibhobho, kunye nemijikelo yokugunyazisa enokufikelela kwiminyaka eyi-8-10. Ixesha lokuhambisa izixhobo ezibalulekileyo ezifana neetransformers ezinkulu, ii-circuit breakers, iiturbines, kunye nezikhululo ezisele zenziwe ngaphambili lide, lidla ngokufuna ucwangciso lweminyaka emininzi kwangaphambili.
Ngokwembono yecandelo lamandla, imali kunye nemvakalelo yokungxamiseka azinakudlula iinkqubo zokwakha ezibonakalayo kunye nemithetho. Ke ngoko, omabini amacala kufuneka alungise amaqhinga awo: amaziko edatha kufuneka abonise imfuno yawo yokwenyani kwangethuba, kwaye iinkampani zamandla/izibonelelo zamandla kufuneka zingenelele kwangethuba kwizisombululo zobonelelo lwamandla kunye nokukhetha uyilo ukunciphisa ukungalingani kunye nokuphindaphinda kwinkqubo "yokucwangcisa-ukuphunyezwa".
Imozulu embi kakhulu iyenza mandundu imfuno yamandla.
Imozulu embi kakhulu iye yanda kakhulu kwiminyaka yakutshanje. Kwanangaphambi kokuba kongezwe umthwalo opheleleyo weendawo zolwazi, imozulu embi kakhulu sele ivavanya rhoqo imida yegridi yamandla.
Imithwalo yokupholisa kwiindawo zokuhlala iyanda, nto leyo enyanzela inkqubo ukuba yenze izigqibo ezinzima phantsi koxinzelelo oluphezulu. Ngokukhula kwamaziko edatha aphakamileyo, ngaphandle kokuhlanganiswa ngononophelo, imithwalo emikhulu iya kwenza ukuqinisekiswa kokuthembeka kube nzima ngakumbi. Iingxoxo zomthetho nezomthetho nazo ziyaqhubeka malunga nokuba kufuneka kunyanzeliswe na ukunciphisa umthwalo kubasebenzisi abakhulu bemizi-mveliso efana namaziko edatha kwiimeko ezingxamisekileyo ukuqinisekisa ukuba imithwalo ebalulekileyo ebomini ibekwa phambili. Oku kuthetha ukuba iinkampani zamandla zifuna amalungiselelo ezikhungo kunye netekhnoloji "anamandla ancitshiswayo" ngelixa zilungelelanisa izivumelwano, ubudlelwane nabathengi, kunye nobudlelwane bexesha elide.
Njengoko sijongene nokukhula kwemfuno okulandelayo, iigridi zamandla kunye namaziko edatha zifuna iziseko zophuhliso "ezikhawulezayo nezizinzileyo".
Njengoko iimfuno zamandla ezivela kumaziko edatha kunye ne-AI ziqhubeka zisanda, iinkonzo zoshishino kufuneka zibe nokulinganisela okuthe kratya phakathi kokwandiswa kunye nokuthembeka.
Kule nkqubo,IBelden HirschmannAmandla okunxibelelana kunye nokunxibelelana anokuxhasa iimeko ezibalulekileyo kumaziko edatha nakwicandelo lamandla, kubandakanya unxibelelwano oluthembekileyo kwimithombo yamandla ebalulekileyo kunye nokusasazwa, unxibelelwano lwenethiwekhi yemizi-mveliso kunye nokufumana idatha, kunye nobuchule bokubona kunye nokulawula imisebenzi kunye nokugcinwa, ukunceda abathengi baphucule ukusasazeka, ukugcinwa, kunye nokhuseleko lokusebenza ngexesha lokwandiswa.
Umthombo weendaba: Iakhawunti esemthethweni yeBelden Hessmann WeChat
Umthombo Ocatshulweyo: Amandla kunye ne-AI - Uhlalutyo - IEA: https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/
Iphephandaba leProjekthi yeThree Gorges ka-2025: http://www.mwr.gov.cn/sj/tjgb/sxgcgb/202606/t20260629_2131904.html
Ixesha lokuthumela: Agasti-10-2026